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Russia's unjustifiable war of aggression in Ukraine

Sea of Azov now lost by Putin

Russia’s grip on its gateway to the Black Sea is slipping after a series of Ukrainian attacks forced Moscow to suspend traffic through the key waterway this week, limiting the Kremlin’s ability to trade with the rest of the world.

The development marks a major reversal of fortunes for Russia as the Azov Sea was for years out of Kyiv’s reach, providing Russia with a convenient staging ground for attacks against Ukraine and linking vast swaths of southern Russia with the world’s oceans.

But recent advances in Ukraine’s drone program have changed this. Robert Brovdi, the commander of Ukraine’s ‌drone forces, said on Wednesday that Kyiv had hit 116 Russian vessels in the Sea of Azov in just the past nine days – a sharp increase.

Previously, strikes against Russian ships were mostly limited to the shadow fleet and military vessels. CNN cannot independently verify Brovdi’s claim, but videos of some of the recent strikes shared by Ukrainian officials show direct hits.

The relentless attacks have forced Russia to suspend traffic through the Azov Sea by shutting down the two chokepoints in its corners: the Don-Azov Channel, which connects the sea to inland waterways, and the Kerch Strait, which links it to the Black Sea
 
What way is the whole thing going @Handy Run or @catcha?

You see a lot of these posts indicating Ukraine is going well disrupting shipping and on the news that Russia are still launching missiles and drones away.

I presume the ground war is at stalemate and they're waiting on economic or social collapse on one side or the other to force surrender/peace talks
 
Luckily for the orcs, these things haven't been happening or they'd really be in the shit:

  • Bad harvests
  • Artificially strong ruble resulting in expensive food imports
  • Untrustworthy reporting from the ground up making planning impossible
  • Manual labour dead, crippled or fled
  • Upcoming harvest in danger as farmers can't get fuel
  • Runaway inflation with a base interest rate of ~15%
  • Major shipping lanes out of bounds
  • Big chunk of the economy going bang every day
  • Population with zero community and solidarity (by design)
 
What way is the whole thing going @Handy Run or @catcha?

You see a lot of these posts indicating Ukraine is going well disrupting shipping and on the news that Russia are still launching missiles and drones away.

I presume the ground war is at stalemate and they're waiting on economic or social collapse on one side or the other to force surrender/peace talks

The long term trend is very strongly in Ukraine's favour.

The orcs are pawning off the family silverware to maintain the facade but structurally they are absolutely fucked. Even if they withdrew now they'll be fucked for the foreseeable future as so much structural damage has been done to their oil/gas economy and their demographics.

And they've lost their biggest customer. Even if Europe buys again it's still trending hard towards renewable power.

And who'd want to invest in that shithole anyway knowing they'll likely start a war again soon and steal/nationalize all your shit.

St Petersburg is the one to watch. When that starts going to shit then that means every single last resource is in Moscow. Then you can start watching for swan lake on d'telly.
 
The long term trend is very strongly in Ukraine's favour.

The orcs are pawning off the family silverware to maintain the facade but structurally they are absolutely fucked. Even if they withdrew now they'll be fucked for the foreseeable future as so much structural damage has been done to their oil/gas economy and their demographics.

And they've lost their biggest customer. Even if Europe buys again it's still trending hard towards renewable power.

And who'd want to invest in that shithole anyway knowing they'll likely start a war again soon and steal/nationalize all your shit.

St Petersburg is the one to watch. When that starts going to shit then that means every single last resource is in Moscow. Then you can start watching for swan lake on d'telly.
Domestic fuel prices gone up 500% in Russia, If that happened in US there would be a revolution, only a matter of time before a VIP falls out a window in Russia!
 
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