The Official Liverpool Thread - Part 2

I read yesterday that Billy Beane was an advisor to AZ Alkmaar back when Arne Slot was recruited (as assistant manager & promoted to manager). Given the close ties between Beane and John Henry it's not a surprise that Slot was on Liverpool's radar.

It would be a tough gig for anyone to follow Jurgen, but there are plenty of positives with Slot - albeit a few nagging concerns that could creep forward if he doesn't start well.

Positives
  • Consistently overachieved in Holland, relative to the available resources
  • Very comfortable with a data-led approach
  • Plays fast attacking football with a high press (...which the squad is already comfortable with)
  • All reports point to him being very strong tactically & good at helping players understand their roles without overloading them with info
  • Great command of English and seems to be able to handle the media pretty well (...but the UK press are a different breed)

Negatives
  • No PL or top 5 league experience
  • Moderate level of European experience (No CL experience)
  • Doesn't have a high profile (of a Klopp / Alonso), which could impact recruitment & he'll need to work harder to earn the players' respect

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As a senior SSB analyst has pointed out, the Dutch league is shit.

Maybe it works out but its a huge ask.

I haven't seen any analysis of this, but my gut feel is that it's generally easier for a manager to transition to the PL from a league like the Eredivisie (or the Portuguese Primeira league), than it is for a player.

The leap (if any) required for a manager (e.g. tactics, communicating with the players, pressure) is likely a lot lower than it is for a player (e.g. pace, power, quality of opposition, quality of squad members competing for minutes etc.)

For sure there are reasons why it'll be challenging for Slot to succeed, but I wouldn't weight the "Dutch League is sh1t" aspect too heavily...although it's certainly a factor.

It often feels like managerial moves (intra-league or inter-league) often succeed or fail for relatively circumstantial reasons* more than their pure managerial ability. What look like really solid appointments can often go rapidly south and once momentum is working against a mangager it can be hard to claw that back. Unless it's a slam dunk (e.g. Pep walking into a structure tailor-made to his needs & lots of ££ to spend) you really never know how it's going to work out.

With very few big name managers even vaguely recruitable this summer Liverpool look to have gone with a guy whose environment & ways of working at Feyenoord look to be a very good match for how Liverpool operate. Avoiding friction & confusion early in his reign might be half the battle. But certainly it'll be a step up for Slot in lots of ways - scale, pressure, scrutiny. But he's taken big leaps in his career before and overall it's been an upwards trajectory, so it's a risk but a calculated one. Arguably, like most managerial appointments.

* e.g. bust up with the ownership hierarchy, victims of poor execution of transfers, a glut of injuries at the wrong time, fan sentiment etc.
 
If a monster Saudi offer for Salah had come in earlier in the window then a deal just might've been done.

But selling your star striker so late in the window, with no replacement would've been a disaster and might have led to Klopp walking.

Although it would've secured the Net Spend cup, so wouldn't have been all bad of course.
 
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